Elena Rybakina vs Heather Watson Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison
Wojtek Kolan
Published on 12 Jun at 03:50 PM UTC
HEAD TO HEAD
E. Rybakina vs H. Watson

KAZ
2
Win
Played
0
Win

GBR
2
Win
Played
0
Win
Head-to-head: Rybakina 2 - 0 Watson
They have played 5 sets in total, with Elena Rybakina winning 4 and Heather Watson winning 1. The last match between Elena Rybakina and Heather Watson was at the LTA London Championships - London, 12-06-2025, Round: R2, Surface: Grass, with Elena Rybakina getting the victory 6-4 6-2.
| Players | Head To Head Match Wins |
|---|---|
| Rybakina | 2 |
| Watson | 0 |
Last 2 H2H Matches:
(R2) LTA London Championships - London(06-12-25)
(SF) Hobart International - Hobart(01-17-20)
E. Rybakina vs H. Watson H2H Profile
| Stats | ||
|---|---|---|
| $15,989,766 | Career Prize Money | $2,704,519 |
| 70.63% (392-163) | Career Total W/L | 54.43% (436-365) |
| 1 | Grass | 0 |
| 1 | Hard | 0 |
| 15 | Titles | 12 |
| 2 | Total H2H Matches | 0 |
| 75.64% (59-19) | YTD Win/Loss | 25.00% (1-3) |
| 3 | YTD Titles | 0 |
E. Rybakina vs H. Watson Match Preview:
- When comparing second serve points won in recent form, Rybakina leads slightly with 42.79% compared to Watson's 40.64%. Does this give Rybakina a serving advantage?
- In terms of return games, Watson outperforms Rybakina by winning 51.84% of opponent's second serve points, whereas Rybakina wins 47.98%.
- For first serve returns, Watson again holds the edge, winning 29.99% compared to Rybakina's 26.95%.
- Under pressure, Rybakina has shown better resilience, saving 54.66% of breakpoints, surpassing Watson's 47.79%.
- Over the past year, Rybakina holds a superior win percentage of 70.59%, while Watson's stands at 61.22%. How significant is this in predicting the match outcome?
- Surface specializations reveal Watson prefers Indoor Hard courts with a 63% win rate, while Rybakina excels on Grass, boasting a 76% win rate.
- The level of competition faced by Rybakina is higher, with an opponent average rank of 75.29 compared to Watson's 193.96.
- In deciding sets, Watson has performed better recently, winning 67% compared to Rybakina's 50%.
- Direct head-to-head encounters give Rybakina the advantage, having won their sole match, beating Watson two sets to one.
- Watson leads in breakpoint conversion with 34.81%, whereas Rybakina follows closely at 32.12%.
Editorial Prediction (June 12, 2025, UTC):
As we approach this match-up, recent statistics present a mixed picture of strengths and weaknesses for both players.
Rybakina holds a slight edge in second serve performance and shows greater poise under pressure by saving a higher percentage of breakpoints. This ability can be crucial in pivotal moments of the match. Additionally, Rybakina has faced tougher competitors on the tour, which may sharpen her competitive edge.
Conversely, Watson excels in return games, especially in converting points when facing second serves, a critical area that could dictate the match's flow. Her strong performance in deciding sets further boosts her chances if the match goes the distance.
Their previous encounter saw Rybakina triumph in a hard-fought three-set match, highlighting her ability to edge out Watson in direct competition.
Given these considerations, Rybakina is slightly favored to win the upcoming tennis match.
Elena Rybakina vs Heather Watson Editorial Preview By TennisTipster88.
E. Rybakina vs H. Watson H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions
| Stats | ||
|---|---|---|
| 2 | H2H Matches Won | 0 |
| 4 | Sets Won | 1 |
| 28 | Games Won | 19 |
| 19 | Aces (Total) | 6 |
| 7 | Total Double Faults | 7 |
| 1:49:30 | Average Match Time | 1:49:30 |
| 60% (96/161) | 1st Serve % | 59% (94/159) |
| 74% (71/96) | 1st Serve Win % | 64% (60/94) |
| 52% (34/65) | 2nd Serve Win % | 49% (32/65) |
| 47% (8/17) | Break Pts Won % | 21% (3/14) |
| 42% (67/159) | Return Points Win % | 35% (56/161) |
| 100% (2/2) | Best‑of‑3 Win % | 0% (0/2) |
| 100% (1/1) | Deciding Set Win % | 0% (0/1) |
| 100% (2/2) | 1st Set Won, Won Match | 0% (0/0) |
| 0% (0/2) | 1st Set Won, Lost Match | 0% (0/0) |
| 0% (0/0) | 1st Set Lost, Won Match | 0% (0/2) |
Recent Performance Stats
E. Rybakina Recent Matches Played
| OPPONENT | RESULT | SCORE | H2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
F | W | 6-3 7-6(0) | ||
SF | W | 4-6 6-4 6-3 | ||
Robin | W | 6-4 6-4 | ||
Robin | W | 3-6 6-1 6-0 | ||
Robin | W | 6-3 6-1 | ||
H. Watson Recent Matches Played
| OPPONENT | RESULT | SCORE | H2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Q1 | L | 3-6 6-3 6-4 | ||
Q1 | L | 6-2 6-3 | ||
R1 | L | 6-4 ret. | ||
R1 | L | 2-6 6-4 6-3 | ||
Q3 | L | 6-4 6-1 | ||

E. Rybakina vs H. Watson Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents
| Stats | ||
|---|---|---|
| 70.63% (392/163) | YTD Win/Loss | 54.43% (436/365) |
| 66.59% (855/429) | Sets Win/Loss | 53.35% (996/871) |
| 56.35% (6809/5275) | Games Win/Loss | 51.98% (9088/8395) |
| 69.00% (187/84) | Hard Win/Loss | 53.77% (228/196) |
| 70.80% (97/40) | Clay Win/Loss | 49.15% (58/60) |
| 73.68% (70/25) | Indoor Hard W/L | 64.12% (84/47) |
| 73.08% (38/14) | Grass Win/Loss | 51.56% (66/62) |
| 0.49 | Aces Per Game | 0.28 |
| 2917 | Aces Total | 2428 |
| 0.27 | Double Faults Per Game | 0.27 |
| 1568 | Total Double Faults | 2324 |
| 1:30:47 | Average Match Time | 1:26:19 |
| 297.93 | Average Opponent Rank | 445.69 |
| 59% (21821/37039) | 1st Serve % | 60% (30138/50443) |
| 70% (15259/21772) | 1st Serve Win % | 65% (19664/30138) |
| 49% (7487/15230) | 2nd Serve Win % | 45% (9127/20294) |
| 45% (1985/4400) | Break Points Won % (Total) | 45% (2686/5914) |
| 44% (16464/37404) | Return Points Win % | 44% (22126/50162) |
| 73.12% (68/25) | Slam W/L | 42.99% (46/61) |
| 69.63% (94/41) | Masters W/L | 44.96% (58/71) |
| 83.33% (10/2) | Cups W/L | 65.71% (23/12) |
| 70.00% (126/54) | Main Tour W/L | 51.91% (163/151) |
| 67.05% (59/29) | Challenger W/L | 66.67% (138/69) |
| 74.47% (35/12) | Futures W/L | 88.89% (8/1) |
| 71% (383/543) | Best of 3 Sets Win % | 54% (431/792) |
| 100% (1/1) | Best of 5 Sets Win % | 100% (1/1) |
| 56% (93/167) | Tiebreaks Win % (Total) | 50% (104/207) |
| 57% (105/185) | Deciding Set Win % | 53% (144/272) |
| 91% (371/336) | 1st Set Won, Won Match | 85% (420/358) |
| 9% (371/34) | 1st Set Won, Lost Match | 15% (420/61) |
| 29% (184/54) | 1st Set Lost, Won Match | 20% (381/77) |
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